17/03/2024
·
17:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-0
Frechen vs Bonn-Endenich Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
24%
Draw
24%
25%
Away Win
16%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frechen v Bonn-Endenich — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Frechen
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bonn-Endenich
EU Bookmakers 20%
+18% /
+18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
10
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
5
424 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
266 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Frechen vs Bonn-Endenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Frechen squeezed past Bonn-Endenich 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Frechen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
What was the final score of Frechen vs Bonn-Endenich?
Frechen 3-2 Bonn-Endenich in the Germany - Oberliga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frechen vs Bonn-Endenich?
Before kick-off our model rated a Frechen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Frechen 51%, draw 24%, Bonn-Endenich 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frechen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Frechen)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
17 Mar 2024