17/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Schermbeck vs Gievenbeck Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
30%
Draw
20%
48%
Away Win
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Schermbeck v Gievenbeck — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Schermbeck
EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gievenbeck
EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
42%
Ball Possession
58%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
284 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
400 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Schermbeck vs Gievenbeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gievenbeck beat Schermbeck 3-1 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gievenbeck as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Schermbeck vs Gievenbeck?
Schermbeck 1-3 Gievenbeck in the Germany - Oberliga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Schermbeck vs Gievenbeck?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gievenbeck win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Schermbeck 22%, draw 30%, Gievenbeck 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gievenbeck) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gievenbeck)
✗ Under 2.5
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OBER
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17 Mar 2024