SV Porz 1919 1-2 Hennef 05 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Porz 1919 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hennef 05 EU Bookmakers 40%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH SV Porz 1919 vs Hennef 05
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hennef 05 squeezed past SV Porz 1919 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was SV Porz 1919 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of SV Porz 1919 vs Hennef 05?

SV Porz 1919 1-2 Hennef 05 in the Germany - Oberliga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Porz 1919 vs Hennef 05?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Porz 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SV Porz 1919 42%, draw 27%, Hennef 05 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SV Porz 1919) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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