Arka Gdynia 2-2 Odra Opole — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Odra Opole EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.87/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.35
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Odra Opole
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Odra Opole Odra Opole 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
19.03.2023 Odra Opole Odra Opole 1-1 HT 1-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
21.08.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 0-0 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
12.03.2022 Odra Opole Odra Opole 1-3 HT 0-3 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
28.08.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 3-0 HT 2-0 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
11.04.2021 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-1 HT 0-1 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
2-2
AWAY Odra Opole
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Odra Opole
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia and Odra Opole couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arka Gdynia at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 56% of the ball to Odra Opole's 44%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.00 for Odra Opole.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Odra Opole?

Arka Gdynia 2-2 Odra Opole in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Odra Opole?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 50%, draw 28%, Odra Opole 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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