Katowice 5-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.74 — our 24% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.54/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.87
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-1 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
19.02.2023 Katowice Katowice 1-1 HT 0-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
31.07.2022 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-0 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
04.12.2021 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-2 HT 1-2 Katowice Katowice POL1
14.08.2021 Katowice Katowice 2-2 HT 1-2 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
01.02.2019 Katowice Katowice 1-0 HT 1-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
5-0
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice ran out comfortable winners over Podbeskidzie Bielsko 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Katowice had 65% of the ball to Podbeskidzie Bielsko's 35%, shots finished 14-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katowice had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Katowice and 1.00 for Podbeskidzie Bielsko.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Katowice 5-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Katowice 46%, draw 26%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✓ Over 2.5
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