Gornik Leczna 1-1 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.19
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.39/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.97
-4% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
17.06.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-0 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
15.09.2019 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna and Znicz Pruszkow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gornik Leczna and 0.33 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Gornik Leczna 1-1 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 36%, draw 32%, Znicz Pruszkow 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gornik Leczna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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