Afyonspor 1-1 Ankaraspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.19
No
68%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
22%
+13.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-9.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-9.6pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankaraspor EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afyonspor
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Ankaraspor
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Ankaraspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor T2L-K
25.03.2023 Ankaraspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-B
09.10.2022 Afyonspor Afyonspor 2-3 HT 1-1 Ankaraspor S2-B
30.01.2022 Ankaraspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-K
26.09.2021 Afyonspor Afyonspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Ankaraspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afyonspor
1-1
AWAY Ankaraspor
33% Ball Possession 67%
2 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Afyonspor vs Ankaraspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afyonspor and Ankaraspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ankaraspor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, Afyonspor had 33% of the ball to Ankaraspor's 67%, shots finished 2-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Afyonspor and 1.20 for Ankaraspor.

What was the final score of Afyonspor vs Ankaraspor?

Afyonspor 1-1 Ankaraspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor vs Ankaraspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ankaraspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor 35%, draw 24%, Ankaraspor 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ankaraspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ankaraspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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