Esenler Erokspor 3-0 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
81%
-12.6pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.3pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
4.00/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.14
+91% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -14%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
553 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-5 HT 1-3 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor S2-B
05.03.2023 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 3-2 HT 2-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor S2-B
24.09.2022 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 3-2 HT 2-0 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
3-0
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor swept aside Nazilli Belediyespor 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 59% of the ball to Nazilli Belediyespor's 41%, shots finished 19-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Esenler Erokspor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 2.00 for Nazilli Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Esenler Erokspor 3-0 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 68%, draw 17%, Nazilli Belediyespor 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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