Serik Belediyespor 1-2 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.7pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.2pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.00/3.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.41
+4% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +132%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Serik Belediyespor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 2-0 HT 1-0 Serik Belediyespor T2L-K
11.03.2023 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 0-0 HT 0-0 Serik Belediyespor T2L-K
01.10.2022 Serik Belediyespor 1-5 HT 1-1 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Belediyespor
1-2
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Serik Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 edged past Serik Belediyespor 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 35% / 40% — and on the day Bucaspor 1928 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Serik Belediyespor had 63% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 37%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Serik Belediyespor and 2.33 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of Serik Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Serik Belediyespor 1-2 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Belediyespor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Serik Belediyespor 25%, draw 35%, Bucaspor 1928 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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