Difaa El Jadida 2-1 CODM Meknes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 40% vs market 36.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Difaa El Jadida EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CODM Meknes EU Bookmakers 27%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.33/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.48
-3% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -53%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Difaa El Jadida
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CODM Meknes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 CODM Meknes CODM Meknes 3-0 HT 2-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
03.03.2024 CODM Meknes CODM Meknes 1-1 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS2
29.09.2023 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 4-2 HT 3-1 CODM Meknes CODM Meknes FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Difaa El Jadida
2-1
AWAY CODM Meknes
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Difaa El Jadida vs CODM Meknes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Difaa El Jadida edged past CODM Meknes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Difaa El Jadida as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Difaa El Jadida had 50% of the ball to CODM Meknes's 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Difaa El Jadida and 2.00 for CODM Meknes.

What was the final score of Difaa El Jadida vs CODM Meknes?

Difaa El Jadida 2-1 CODM Meknes in the Morocco - League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Difaa El Jadida vs CODM Meknes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Difaa El Jadida win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Difaa El Jadida 44%, draw 30%, CODM Meknes 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Difaa El Jadida) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Difaa El Jadida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS More Morocco - League
17 Mar 2025
01:00 Raja Casablanca vs Moghreb Tetouan Analysis →
01:00 Chabab Mohammedia vs Hassania Agadir Analysis →