Raja Casablanca 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.55/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.61
+0% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
24.02.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
08.10.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
28.02.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
18.09.2022 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-1 HT 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
14.07.2021 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 4-1 HT 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Casablanca
1-1
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca and Moghreb Tetouan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Raja Casablanca at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Raja Casablanca had 55% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 45%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Raja Casablanca and 0.67 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Raja Casablanca 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 52%, draw 25%, Moghreb Tetouan 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Raja Casablanca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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