Chabab Mohammedia 0-4 Hassania Agadir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
12.23
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
52%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.86
Over 2.5
37%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
3.06
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
7%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 39% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
6%
+19.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.7pp
52%
Away Win
76%
-24.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
50%
+13.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
50%
-13.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.9pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 80%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.44/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-49% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -62%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
212 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hassania Agadir
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-1 HT 2-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
25.02.2024 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-0 HT 2-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
06.10.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 3-1 HT 1-1 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
17.04.2023 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 1-2 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
04.11.2022 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 2-1 HT 1-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
08.05.2022 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 0-1 HT 0-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
0-4
AWAY Hassania Agadir
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Chabab Mohammedia vs Hassania Agadir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassania Agadir ran out comfortable winners over Chabab Mohammedia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hassania Agadir as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Chabab Mohammedia had 50% of the ball to Hassania Agadir's 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hassania Agadir led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chabab Mohammedia and 1.50 for Hassania Agadir.

What was the final score of Chabab Mohammedia vs Hassania Agadir?

Chabab Mohammedia 0-4 Hassania Agadir in the Morocco - League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Mohammedia vs Hassania Agadir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hassania Agadir win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chabab Mohammedia 25%, draw 22%, Hassania Agadir 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hassania Agadir), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hassania Agadir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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