Sunderland U21 3-0 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
3.05/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.68
+32% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leeds United U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.83 xG 0.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
343 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2024 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 1-3 HT 0-3 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
3-0
AWAY Leeds United U21
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 6
253 Passes 370
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 swept aside Leeds United U21 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sunderland U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 44% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 56%, shots finished 20-11.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Sunderland U21 3-0 Leeds United U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 47%, draw 23%, Leeds United U21 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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