Leeds United U21 1-3 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
38%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.46
Over 2.5
58%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+10.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
38%
Away Win
53%
-15.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
25%
+17.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
75%
-17.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.2pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United U21
1-3
AWAY Sunderland U21
0.65 xG 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
364 Passes 343
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leeds United U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 beat Leeds United U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sunderland U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United U21 had 52% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 48%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.65 to 1.83.

What was the final score of Leeds United U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Leeds United U21 1-3 Sunderland U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leeds United U21 36%, draw 26%, Sunderland U21 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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