Everton U21 1-1 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.46
Over 2.5
52%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.31
No
50%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
25%
+23.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
75%
-23.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
72%
-22.5pp
50%
BTTS No
28%
+22.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton U21
1-1
AWAY Manchester City U21
0.56 xG 2.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 438
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton U21 and Manchester City U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Everton U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Everton U21 had 42% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 58%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.56 to 2.28.

What was the final score of Everton U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Everton U21 1-1 Manchester City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Everton U21 46%, draw 21%, Manchester City U21 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Everton U21) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2-1 More England - Premier League 2 (League 1)
29 Jan 2024
22:00 Leicester City U21 vs Southampton U21 Analysis →
22:00 Leeds United U21 vs Sunderland U21 Analysis →
22:00 Derby County U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 Analysis →