Leicester City U21 1-2 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.33
No
47%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
71%
-18.1pp
47%
BTTS No
29%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City U21
1-2
AWAY Southampton U21
3.08 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 1
400 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 squeezed past Leicester City U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Southampton U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Leicester City U21 had 52% of the ball to Southampton U21's 48%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 3.08 to 1.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leicester City U21.

What was the final score of Leicester City U21 vs Southampton U21?

Leicester City U21 1-2 Southampton U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leicester City U21 40%, draw 27%, Southampton U21 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leicester City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPL2-1 More England - Premier League 2 (League 1)
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