Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Mar 2025

Racing Club Montevideo
0-1
Nacional de Football
📅17/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2025

Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club Montevideo v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 57%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.77/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.87
-15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
04.05.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-2 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
06.10.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.07.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
27.02.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 2-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
23.09.2019 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0-1
AWAY Nacional de Football
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 56% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 44%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 2.67 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football?

Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 27%, draw 23%, Nacional de Football 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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