Deportivo Tachira 1-1 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.1pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.47/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.85
+0% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.4 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
350 Passes 197
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.09.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
29.03.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
26.08.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
12.03.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
16.07.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 3-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.05.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-1
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.76 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
402 Passes 261
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira and Metropolitanos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Tachira at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 58% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 42%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.76 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.67 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Metropolitanos?

Deportivo Tachira 1-1 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 56%, draw 22%, Metropolitanos 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
17 Mar 2025
02:30 Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes De Merida Analysis →