Cheltenham Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.62
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.96
6+
4%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.44
1/2
3%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
12%
6.07
X/2
14%
5.18
X/X
20%
4.06
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
22%
3.47
2/X
5%
12.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cheltenham Town The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra The Market 43%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
1.42 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
201 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 68%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.61 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
228 Passes 226
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 4-1 HT 3-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
10.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-3 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
26.12.2024 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
26.02.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
07.08.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
28.11.2020 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
1 - 1
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.49 xG 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
316 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cheltenham Town and Crewe Alexandra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 57% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 43%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.49 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.83 for Crewe Alexandra.

Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra Result & Final Score

Cheltenham Town 1 - 1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 30%, draw 31%, Crewe Alexandra 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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