Al Shamal 1-3 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 28% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
51%
Away Win
44%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.4pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.90/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.24
+27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +72%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.1 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.31 xG 2.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
286 Passes 501
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
05.04.2025 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
01.11.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-6 HT 1-4 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
15.03.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
28.10.2023 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
10.09.2023 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shamal
1-3
AWAY Al Duhail SC
2.14 xG 1.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
287 Passes 388
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Duhail SC saw off Al Shamal 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Duhail SC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Shamal had 44% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 56%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.14 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Duhail SC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shamal and 2.50 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Duhail SC?

Al Shamal 1-3 Al Duhail SC in the Qatar League on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 26%, draw 23%, Al Duhail SC 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Duhail SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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