Al Arabi 2-1 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
57%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.14
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.19
2-3 Goals
34%
2.2
4-5 Goals
34%
2.3
6+ Goals
13%
4.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
57%
Away Win
57%
+0.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.3pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.0pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 61%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.42/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.39
+27% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 83%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.4 Crosses 13.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Sadd
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.74 xG 1.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 356
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.01.2026 Al Arabi Al Arabi 5-0 HT 4-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KATYK
25.10.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
30.01.2025 Al Arabi Al Arabi 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
22.08.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 5-0 HT 3-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
10.03.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
17.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi nicked a narrow win over Al Sadd 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Al Sadd carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Arabi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Arabi and 1.83 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Sadd?

Al Arabi 2-1 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 22%, draw 21%, Al Sadd 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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