Boca Juniors 1-0 Godoy Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.59
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
17.0
X/1
20%
3.6
X/2
9%
9.48
X/X
11%
4.08
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
10%
8.66
2/X
8%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.62/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.68
+1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 69%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.9 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Godoy Cruz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
379 Passes 222
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-2 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
23.06.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 4-0 HT 2-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
24.09.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 0-1 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
21.04.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-1 HT 1-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
21.10.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 2-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
15.03.2020 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-4 HT 1-2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
1-0
AWAY Godoy Cruz
0.62 xG 1.10
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
242 Passes 370
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Godoy Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors squeezed past Godoy Cruz 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 43% of the ball to Godoy Cruz's 57%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.62 to 1.10 — on chances, Godoy Cruz could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.33 for Godoy Cruz.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Godoy Cruz?

Boca Juniors 1-0 Godoy Cruz in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Godoy Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 46%, draw 29%, Godoy Cruz 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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