Lanus 1-2 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Apr 2024

Lanus
1-2 HT 1-0
Estudiantes
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Lanus vs Estudiantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.15
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.25
X/1
12%
4.96
X/2
15%
5.55
X/X
10%
3.7
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.38
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lanus v Estudiantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.96
+9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.5 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lanus vs Estudiantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 313
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
14.02.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-2 HT 0-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
11.10.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 3-1 HT 2-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
20.02.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
06.11.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
02.03.2020 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Lanus 1-2 Estudiantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
1-2
AWAY Estudiantes
1.11 xG 1.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
20 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
191 Passes 411
64% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes nicked a narrow win over Lanus 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lanus had 38% of the ball to Estudiantes's 62%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lanus and 1.33 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Estudiantes?

Lanus 1-2 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lanus 35%, draw 27%, Estudiantes 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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