Bradford City 1-1 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.78
Over
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.98
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.62
6+
10%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.98 — our 27% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.0
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.97
X/2
9%
7.13
X/X
8%
4.44
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
14%
5.26
2/X
12%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.48
+9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.0 Crosses 18.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Notts County
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 2.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
262 Passes 457
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2024 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 3-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
19.03.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 0-3 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
18.11.2023 Notts County Notts County 4-2 HT 4-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
14.03.2015 Notts County Notts County 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
28.12.2014 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN1
01.01.2014 Notts County Notts County 3-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-1
AWAY Notts County
0.38 xG 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
166 Passes 341
62% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City and Notts County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bradford City had 38% of the ball to Notts County's 62%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.38 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bradford City and 2.33 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Notts County?

Bradford City 1-1 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 45%, draw 25%, Notts County 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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