Vastra Frolunda IF 3-1 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.68/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.05
-21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 2-2 HT 1-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
30.05.2024 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
09.09.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 1-1 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
14.05.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-4 HT 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
08.09.2022 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 3-3 HT 3-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
28.11.2021 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-3 HT 0-0 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
3-1
AWAY Varbergs GIF
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vastra Frolunda IF vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF got the better of Varbergs GIF 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vastra Frolunda IF as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Vastra Frolunda IF had 54% of the ball to Varbergs GIF's 46%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varbergs GIF led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vastra Frolunda IF and 2.17 for Varbergs GIF.

What was the final score of Vastra Frolunda IF vs Varbergs GIF?

Vastra Frolunda IF 3-1 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vastra Frolunda IF vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vastra Frolunda IF 49%, draw 26%, Varbergs GIF 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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