Bergdalens 3-3 Jonsereds IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
36%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
+8.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
36%
Away Win
50%
-13.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergdalens EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 54%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+124% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergdalens
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jonsereds IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
17.08.2024 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Bergdalens İSÇ4
20.04.2024 Bergdalens 1-3 HT 1-1 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergdalens vs Jonsereds IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergdalens and Jonsereds IF shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jonsereds IF led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bergdalens and 2.00 for Jonsereds IF.

What was the final score of Bergdalens vs Jonsereds IF?

Bergdalens 3-3 Jonsereds IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergdalens vs Jonsereds IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergdalens win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bergdalens 37%, draw 27%, Jonsereds IF 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bergdalens) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergdalens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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