Weiche Flensburg 1-1 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.91
Over 2.5
60%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.12/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.27
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lübeck
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2024 Lübeck Lübeck 1-2 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Lübeck Lübeck 2-0 HT 1-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
05.11.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
27.08.2021 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 Lübeck Lübeck 2-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg and Lübeck shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lübeck at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weiche Flensburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 1.00 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Lübeck?

Weiche Flensburg 1-1 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 32%, draw 25%, Lübeck 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lübeck), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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