Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
2.18
Over
44%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
30%
4.22
2-3
38%
1.87
4-5
21%
2.93
6+
11%
8.69
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.22 — our 30% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.44
1/2
8%
21.7
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
14%
7.85
X/2
12%
4.82
X/X
11%
5.64
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
19%
2.58
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 52%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -64% / -64%
2.50/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.36
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
8.0 Crosses 29.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Betis
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.32 xG 3.34
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
332 Passes 653
86% Pass Accuracy 93%
8 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2025 Real Betis Real Betis 2-0 HT 2-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-1
AWAY Real Betis
0.47 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
376 Passes 557
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok and Real Betis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 42% of the ball to Real Betis's 58%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.47 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Real Betis?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Real Betis in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 33%, draw 27%, Real Betis 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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