Rapid Wien 1-4 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.9
Over
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.33
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.43
6+
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.33 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.46
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.46
X/2
12%
8.49
X/X
8%
4.99
2/1
9%
23.75
2/2
13%
6.6
2/X
7%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.17 xG 1.05
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
219 Passes 376
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2025 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
1-4
AWAY Djurgarden
1.69 xG 3.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 30
5 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 5
386 Passes 537
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 54
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden swept aside Rapid Wien 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 45% of the ball to Djurgarden's 55%, shots finished 16-30, expected goals 1.69 to 3.71.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Djurgarden?

Rapid Wien 1-4 Djurgarden in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 43%, draw 25%, Djurgarden 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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