Fiorentina vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Celje — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Celje Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Fiorentina 2-2 Celje — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina and Celje shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Fiorentina carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fiorentina had 37% of the ball to Celje's 63%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.39 to 0.86.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Celje?
Fiorentina 2-2 Celje in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Celje?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 63%, draw 18%, Celje 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS No went the other way.