Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.21
Over
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.29
2-3
38%
1.88
4-5
24%
2.9
6+
11%
8.47
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.29 — our 27% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.6
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
19.25
X/1
14%
3.87
X/2
6%
16.55
X/X
9%
7.21
2/1
6%
21.95
2/2
8%
14.1
2/X
6%
22.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Athletic Bilbao win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +27%
1.74/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.74
+12% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +143% / +47%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
27.5 Crosses 9.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rangers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.37 xG 0.18
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
477 Passes 142
90% Pass Accuracy 64%
40 Box Touches 5
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
10.04.2025 Rangers Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2-0
AWAY Rangers
2.70 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
381 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao saw off Rangers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 56% of the ball to Rangers's 44%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.70 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Rangers?

Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Rangers in the UEFA Europa League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 57%, draw 22%, Rangers 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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