Semen Padang 3-2 PSIS Semarang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.78
Over
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIS Semarang EU Bookmakers 33%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.00/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.12
-30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Semen Padang
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PSIS Semarang
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
01.12.2024 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-0 HT 1-0 Semen Padang Semen Padang ENDL1
13.12.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 2-0 HT 1-0 Semen Padang Semen Padang ENDL1
POST-MATCH Semen Padang vs PSIS Semarang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Semen Padang nicked a narrow win over PSIS Semarang 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Semen Padang made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSIS Semarang led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Semen Padang and 1.50 for PSIS Semarang.

What was the final score of Semen Padang vs PSIS Semarang?

Semen Padang 3-2 PSIS Semarang in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs PSIS Semarang?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSIS Semarang win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 36%, draw 24%, PSIS Semarang 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSIS Semarang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
17 Apr 2025
15:00 PSS Sleman vs Dewa United Analysis →