PSS Sleman 0-1 Dewa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.21
Over Pick
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
36%
4-5
28%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSS Sleman EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dewa United EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.53/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/2.01
+28% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -54%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
222 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSS Sleman
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Dewa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 12
10 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2024 Dewa United Dewa United 2-1 HT 2-1 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
20.04.2024 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman 2-3 HT 1-1 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
04.09.2022 Dewa United Dewa United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSS Sleman
0-1
AWAY Dewa United
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSS Sleman vs Dewa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United nicked a narrow win over PSS Sleman 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dewa United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSS Sleman had 43% of the ball to Dewa United's 57%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dewa United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PSS Sleman and 1.67 for Dewa United.

What was the final score of PSS Sleman vs Dewa United?

PSS Sleman 0-1 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSS Sleman vs Dewa United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PSS Sleman 35%, draw 22%, Dewa United 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dewa United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dewa United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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