Achuapa vs Marquense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Achuapa v Marquense — Team-Based Signals
Achuapa vs Marquense Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Achuapa 1-0 Marquense — Actual Match Statistics
Achuapa nicked a narrow win over Marquense 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Achuapa had 50% of the ball to Marquense's 50%, shots finished 8-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Achuapa and 0.67 for Marquense.
What was the final score of Achuapa vs Marquense?
Achuapa 1-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Marquense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 41%, draw 31%, Marquense 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.