Malacateco 2-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.62/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.05
-3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mixco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
10.11.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
24.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
31.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
19.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 3-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
09.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
2-1
AWAY Mixco
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Mixco 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Malacateco had 58% of the ball to Mixco's 42%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Malacateco and 1.00 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Mixco?

Malacateco 2-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 47%, draw 26%, Mixco 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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