Mixco 2-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.26/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
-10% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Malacateco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Mixco Mixco 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
24.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-1 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
31.03.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
19.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-0 HT 3-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
09.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.02.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco nicked a narrow win over Malacateco 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mixco had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mixco and 0.67 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Malacateco?

Mixco 2-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mixco 43%, draw 34%, Malacateco 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mixco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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