Guastatoya 0-2 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.98/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.16
-20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Municipal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
24.10.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
21.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 5-1 HT 2-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
30.07.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
12.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal got the better of Guastatoya 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guastatoya at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guastatoya and 1.67 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Municipal?

Guastatoya 0-2 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 44%, draw 26%, Municipal 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guastatoya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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