Guastatoya 1-2 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.08/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.04
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Municipal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
19.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
21.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 5-1 HT 2-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
30.07.2023 Municipal Municipal 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
12.04.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
22.01.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal edged past Guastatoya 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Municipal made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guastatoya and 1.50 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Municipal?

Guastatoya 1-2 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 34%, draw 28%, Municipal 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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