Radnik Sesvete 1-2 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-10.6pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +2%
2.04/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.37
+43% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
4W-1D-0L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
18.09.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 1-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
23.05.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 2-1 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
08.03.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 4-0 HT 1-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
14.10.2023 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1-2
AWAY HNK Cibalia
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia squeezed past Radnik Sesvete 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Radnik Sesvete at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 61% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 39%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 0.40 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia?

Radnik Sesvete 1-2 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 41%, draw 32%, HNK Cibalia 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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