Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.91
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
42%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.68
Over 2.5
32%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
14%
+13.5pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.4pp
42%
Away Win
64%
-22.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
56%
+12.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
44%
-12.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-3.0pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 69%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.02/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
+35% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +139% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
222 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta nicked a narrow win over Al Minaa Basra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Al Shorta?

Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 27%, draw 31%, Al Shorta 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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