17/04/2025
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Al Talaba vs Al Kahrabaa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
15%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
23%
Draw
28%
22%
Away Win
15%
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
53%
BTTS No
63%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Talaba v Al Kahrabaa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Talaba
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Kahrabaa
EU Bookmakers 18%
-80% /
-80%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
2.00/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.49/2.01
+16%
/
-74%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-28%
/
-26%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
384 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
302 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Talaba vs Al Kahrabaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Talaba edged past Al Kahrabaa 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Talaba as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Al Kahrabaa?
Al Talaba 1-0 Al Kahrabaa in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Al Kahrabaa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 55%, draw 23%, Al Kahrabaa 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Talaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Talaba)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
17 Apr 2025