Al Najaf 3-2 Karbala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.8pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Karbala EU Bookmakers 17%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.54/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.00
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +56%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
292 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Karbala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najaf edged past Karbala 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Najaf as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Karbala?

Al Najaf 3-2 Karbala in the Iraq - Premier League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Karbala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 51%, draw 28%, Karbala 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najaf) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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