Atletico Nacional vs Boyaca Chico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Boyaca Chico — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Boyaca Chico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
0-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-2
HT 1-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
Atletico Nacional 4-1 Boyaca Chico — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional cruised past Boyaca Chico 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 64% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 36%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 2.28 to 0.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.00 for Boyaca Chico.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Boyaca Chico?
Atletico Nacional 4-1 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Boyaca Chico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 59%, draw 25%, Boyaca Chico 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.