Once Caldas 3-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.39/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.25
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
21.7 Crosses 12.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY La Equidad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 217
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
01.06.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-2 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
06.05.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
07.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.09.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
12.04.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 4-1 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
3-0
AWAY La Equidad
0.69 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
324 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas swept aside La Equidad 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Once Caldas had 57% of the ball to La Equidad's 43%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.69 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Once Caldas and 1.17 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs La Equidad?

Once Caldas 3-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 49%, draw 26%, La Equidad 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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