Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Apr 2026

Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-0 HT 0-0
Shenzhen FC
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2026

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shenzhen FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.68
Over 2.5
58%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.11
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.86
X/2
11%
6.61
X/X
10%
4.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.02
2/X
5%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 6% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
43%
+8.4pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.9pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
56%
-13.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
44%
+13.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chongqing Tongliang Long v Shenzhen FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.33/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.16
-7% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
10.9 Crosses 17.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Shenzhen FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-0
AWAY Shenzhen FC
0.72 xG 0.25
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
547 Passes 228
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long beat Shenzhen FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 68% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 32%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.72 to 0.25.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shenzhen FC?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 51%, draw 22%, Shenzhen FC 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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