Yunnan Yukun 0-3 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
13%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
16%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.77
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
14%
4.1
X/2
3%
12.45
X/X
12%
6.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
19.6
2/2
6%
9.49
2/X
4%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.6 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
64%
+2.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-3.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 20%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.62/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.69
-22% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.7 Crosses 16.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.80 xG 0.51
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
189 Passes 328
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 2-0 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
11.05.2025 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-1 HT 0-1 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun ÇİNSL
21.06.2024 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 1-1 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
0-3
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.91 xG 1.29
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
420 Passes 146
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 5
43 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda ran out comfortable winners over Yunnan Yukun 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Yunnan Yukun carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 70% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 30%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.91 to 1.29 — on chances, Yunnan Yukun could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yunnan Yukun had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yunnan Yukun and 0.33 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda?

Yunnan Yukun 0-3 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 66%, draw 21%, Tianjin Teda 13%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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