Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.5
1/X
5%
19.0
X/1
5%
13.8
X/2
17%
4.01
X/X
13%
7.27
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
36%
1.67
2/X
6%
16.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.5 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.2pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 70%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -17%
1.53/3.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.08
+11% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
24.3 Crosses 21.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.48 xG 1.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
22.02.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
20.07.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
01.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.08.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.05.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
0-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.87 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 Passes 271
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 52% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 48%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.87 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.50 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 14%, draw 24%, Chengdu Qianbao 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5
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