Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
56%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.74
Over 2.5
48%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
6.09
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
26%
2.45
6+ Goals
9%
5.04
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.09 — our 27% vs market 11.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
11.2
1/2
10%
18.65
1/X
4%
19.65
X/1
7%
15.25
X/2
23%
4.19
X/X
16%
8.39
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
23%
1.63
2/X
4%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-11.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
33%
+19.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
67%
-19.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 71%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.39/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.63
+109% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
22.8 Crosses 20.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.49
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
20.07.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
01.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.08.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.05.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
23.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
2-2
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.25 xG 2.03
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
205 Passes 411
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 33
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns and Chengdu Qianbao couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chengdu Qianbao at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 37% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 63%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 1.25 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.33 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 20%, draw 24%, Chengdu Qianbao 56%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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