Dandenong City 2-1 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.27/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.66
-29% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 25.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
224 Passes 342
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-0 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
07.03.2025 Green Gully Green Gully 0-5 HT 0-3 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
06.07.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 2-3 HT 0-1 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
05.04.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 0-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
11.06.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-4 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
11.03.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 1-0 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City edged past Green Gully 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dandenong City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dandenong City and 1.33 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Green Gully?

Dandenong City 2-1 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 51%, draw 26%, Green Gully 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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