Beerschot VA 2-1 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 31%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
1.07/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.46
-37% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.8 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lommel United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 Passes 330
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Lommel United Lommel United 1-2 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
07.02.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 3-0 HT 2-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
20.10.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
06.11.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 1-3 HT 1-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
09.09.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
23.02.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beerschot VA
2-1
AWAY Lommel United
2.08 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
414 Passes 388
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
40 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA squeezed past Lommel United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Beerschot VA as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Beerschot VA had 52% of the ball to Lommel United's 48%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.08 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beerschot VA had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beerschot VA and 1.50 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?

Beerschot VA 2-1 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 48%, draw 23%, Lommel United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beerschot VA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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